With Week 16 concluded, we’re entering the fantasy football championship round for many leagues. As we gear up for Week 17, here are 10 key storylines to watch.
1) Brock Purdy’s Impressive Performance
Despite throwing a late interception against the Colts, Purdy’s standout performance included 295 yards and five touchdowns on 34 attempts, ranking him third for both EPA per play and Completion Percentage Over Expectation (CPOE). He currently leads the season in EPA per play and is on track for a career year in CPOE, nearing his personal best in EPA per play. Last year was challenging for him, but he adapted and is now thriving as his team improves.
2) Philip Rivers Shows Signs of Life
Rivers had a rough start in his first game back but made significant improvements against the 49ers, throwing for 277 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception while averaging 7.9 yards per attempt. His deep-shot attempt rate has increased, allowing for a better offense. Though the Colts remain in playoff contention, Rivers has reignited the fantasy prospects of players like Michael Pittman and Tyler Warren.
3) Jaylen Warren’s Breakout Game
Warren shined with two 45-yard touchdown runs against the Lions, putting the Steelers in contention for the AFC North title. After a tumultuous season filled with injuries, he scored 143 yards and two touchdowns in Week 16, marking the best performance of his career. While he may excel in a committee role, he has emerged as a crucial offensive contributor.
4) Ashton Jeanty’s Redemption
Jeanty, a top pick, struggled with a poor offensive situation this season but defied the odds in Week 16, registering 128 rushing yards and a touchdown, along with a 60-yard touchdown catch. Despite average efficiency numbers, a quarterback fix could enhance his prospects for next year’s drafts.
5) Michael Wilson’s Diminishing Role
With the return of Marvin Harrison Jr., Wilson’s target share has dropped significantly. Though he managed to score and contribute modestly, his role has shifted to being less integral. His target share was among the lowest seen since Week 3, pushing him down the wide receiver ranks.
6) Harold Fannin’s Rookie Impact
Fannin isn’t on pace to break reception records but currently leads all rookies in receptions. With a solid performance, he’s positioned himself as a top-five fantasy tight end, and his efficiency metrics, while not elite, are commendable given the struggles of his offense. His future potential remains bright, especially if the Browns can sort out their quarterback situation.
7) Chris Olave’s Breakout Game
After a series of solid performances but no standout games, Olave finally broke through in Week 16 with 10 catches for 148 yards and two touchdowns. His elevated target share and air yards demonstrate his significance, placing him among the top wide receivers as he heads into the next season with high expectations.
8) Bijan Robinson’s Receiving Skills Shine
While Robinson’s running game is impressive, his receiving abilities are also significant, boasting an average of 1.99 yards per route run. His proficiency in the passing game makes him a key player and a potential elite receiving back in the league.
9) Chiefs Struggle post-Mahomes Injury
With Patrick Mahomes out due to injury, the Chiefs faced a tough defeat against the Titans. Their offensive struggles are evident, and without Mahomes, the team faces a bleak outlook for the remainder of the season. Some players could return, but the fantasy prospects remain dim for the Chiefs.
