As both players and fans prepare for the Masters, the PGA Tour remains in Texas, continuing with the Valero Texas Open following the Houston Open.
The Valero Texas Open takes place at TPC San Antonio, a par-72 course stretching 7,494 yards, featuring Bermudagrass greens. The primary challenge of this course is its fluctuating weather, which can significantly impact play. If conditions are calm, expect the winning score to be around 20 under par.
This week’s tournament includes 150 golfers. A strong roster is expected as players aim to find their rhythm before the Masters. Some prominent participants this week are Tommy Fleetwood, Patrick Cantlay, Ludvig Åberg, Hideki Matsuyama, Sam Burns, Max Homa, and Daniel Berger.
Strokes-Gained Approach
Strokes-gained approach serves as the most reliable indicator of current form. With significant stakes this week, players will strive to secure a place at Augusta or enhance their performance as they head toward the Masters.
Top Performers in Strokes-Gained Approach
- Henrik Norlander (+1.22)
- Jackson Suber (+0.91)
- Tom Kim (+0.81)
- Tommy Fleetwood (+0.77)
- Bud Cauley (+0.65)
Valero Texas Open Model Rankings
Below is the combined model ranking derived from five critical statistical areas: strokes-gained approach (27%), total strokes-gained in Texas (13%), off-the-tee strokes gained (20%), putting strokes gained on Poa Trivialis (15%), approach strokes gained on challenging courses (15%), and comparable courses (10%).
- Tommy Fleetwood
- Daniel Berger
- Bud Cauley
- Jordan Spieth
- Keegan Bradley
- Corey Conners
- Patrick Cantlay
- Victor Perez
- Si Woo Kim
- Keith Mitchell
Betting Picks for the Valero Texas Open
Notable bets this week include Jordan Spieth at +2500. Spieth, who thrived at the recent Valspar Championship, has a strong record at TPC San Antonio and excels in Texas. It is suggested he may very well maintain that momentum heading into this event.
Other players to watch include Keegan Bradley (+2800), who has shown solid form lately, Si Woo Kim (+3500), who is always a contender, and Bud Cauley (+5000), who has proven his ability to handle Texas courses.
