A recurring question in recent weeks is whether Max Verstappen will depart from Red Bull before his contract expires in 2028. This speculation has intensified following Christian Horner’s dismissal as F1 team principal.
Mercedes has openly expressed interest in Verstappen, while rumors circulate about a potential reunion with Adrian Newey and Honda at Aston Martin. The recent changes at Red Bull add a new layer of complexity to Verstappen’s future considerations.
As the change in regulations for 2026 approaches, the performance of all teams will remain uncertain until the first test sessions reveal the competitive landscape. History shows that renowned drivers can make poor choices concerning team changes, leading them to uncompetitive situations which hinder their chances for success.
Max Verstappen, Red Bull Racing, George Russell, Mercedes
Photo by: Sam Bagnall / Motorsport Images
Verstappen has advantageous clauses in his Red Bull contract, allowing him potential exit options if desired. However, switching to Mercedes could backfire if the team falters again. Similarly, placing all hopes on Newey’s work at Aston Martin might be risky, especially if Red Bull’s challenges persist.
Potential Options Post-2026 – Ronald Vording
Verstappen’s first decision involves whether he is willing to forgo 2026, which could open numerous opportunities in 2027 at teams like Mercedes, Aston Martin, or even Ferrari. By that time, he would have a clearer understanding of the competitive hierarchy under new regulations.
However, if he’s not inclined to wait, a performance perspective may suggest that Mercedes is safer than Red Bull. Despite Horner noting uncertainties about winning with a Mercedes engine, it could be deemed embarrassing for the German team if they lag behind Red Bull.
Ultimately, Verstappen’s choice should prioritize performance potential. Retaining personal ties with Red Bull amidst staff changes presents a dilemma between personal loyalty and the ambition to compete effectively. It may be more advantageous for him to remain at Red Bull, familiar and supported, as he evaluates his options for the future.
