If you’ve perused Peter Gammons’ previous columns, you might have encountered a thought he attributed to both long-time Athletics executive Billy Beane and World Series-winning manager Chuck Tanner. The idea is essentially this: the first two months of the regular season are about assessing your team, the next two are focused on acquiring what you need, and the final two months are reserved for making a playoff push.
This sentiment is concise, to the point, and still holds true today. Although the landscape of baseball has evolved significantly over the past few decades, the rhythm of the calendar remains unchanged in this context. Reflecting on my notes from last summer, I realized the first time a team was said to be “open for business” was about two months into the season. And as of today? We’re right on schedule.
Trade Deadline Preview
Below is an early look at the upcoming trade deadline, featuring insights on the most intriguing buyers, sellers, and bubble teams, alongside a summary of ten noteworthy trade candidates. A word of caution: much can shift between now and the July 31 deadline, with nearly two-thirds of the league standing within three games of a playoff position. Therefore, expect defining changes in the market over the next few weeks.
The Buyers
1. Detroit Tigers
I must confess I underestimated the Tigers. At the season’s start, I believed their playoff chances were slim due to a seemingly uninspired offseason following a strong finish last year. However, they have proven me wrong and are heading into a crucial phase in a strong position. While their push at the trade deadline remains to be seen, they should remain open to acquiring offensive upgrades, especially as their outfielders have underperformed.
2. Philadelphia Phillies
The Phillies have been in dire need of relief help, especially after closer José Alvarado’s 80-game suspension due to a failed drug test. Their outfield situation, with several players struggling offensively, also warrants attention before the trade deadline.
3. Seattle Mariners
The Mariners, looking to end a division title drought since 2001, have the prospects to acquire significant talent. However, they have hesitated in making blockbuster deals in recent years. This makes them a more intriguing buyer compared to established heavyweights like the Yankees and Dodgers.
The Sellers
1. Miami Marlins
Marlins general manager Peter Bendix has a reputation for being willing to make trades, having swiftly altered the roster post their unexpected playoff run in 2023. The key player to watch is right-hander Sandy Alcantara, who hasn’t performed as expected since returning from Tommy John surgery. There will be questions about his trade value as teams weigh his current struggles against his potential.
2. Colorado Rockies
The Rockies’ front office might feel compelled to make substantial changes, especially given their poor performance this season. Moving veterans like infielder Ryan McMahon could be a step in the right direction.
3. Pittsburgh Pirates
Among sellers, the Pirates may present an interesting case at the deadline. While they are unlikely to trade standout prospects, impending free agents like Andrew Heaney and reliever David Bednar could be moved to reshape their roster.
