Traditionally, December 15 is seen as the unofficial start of the NBA trade season, as it marks the eligibility for many players who signed contracts or extensions over the summer. However, the real action kicks off between December 19-22 during the NBA G League Winter Showcase in Orlando. This is when general managers and team executives from all 30 franchises come together, primarily to scout top G-League talent. In this private setting, away from fans, one can observe conversations taking place, hinting that significant trade discussions begin here.
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Despite being sidelined for 2-4 weeks due to a calf strain, trade rumors surrounding Giannis are heating up, especially after reports emerged about him renewing discussions regarding his future with the Bucks. A few key updates are noteworthy:
• Milwaukee may struggle to secure multiple first-round picks. Antetokounmpo is playing at an MVP level this season, but at 31, he’s eyeing an extensive contract extension. With a player option worth $62.8 million for the 2027-28 season, teams are hesitant to trade substantial future picks for a player heading into his mid-30s. According to ESPN’s Brian Windhorst, many executives are wary of giving up significant assets due to concerns over roster flexibility.
• The impact of the Pelicans’ 2026 pick. While Antetokounmpo may prefer New York, sources indicate that Atlanta, San Antonio, and Houston might offer better deals. Atlanta, in particular, could propose a trade involving Trae Young and the coveted Pelicans’ first-round pick. Although the Hawks have previously stated they wouldn’t surrender this high-potential asset, the prospect of acquiring Antetokounmpo may lead them to reconsider.
• The Oklahoma City consideration. While Oklahoma City possesses the resources to make a strong offer for Antetokounmpo, their current success may deter them from pursuing him. With a remarkable record this season and team cohesiveness, the Thunder might opt to remain patient and develop their young roster rather than make a major trade.
Anthony Davis
Trading Anthony Davis seems more plausible in the offseason rather than mid-season, especially as the Lakers have shown improvement recently. Concerns about giving up first-round picks in a trade are more pronounced for Davis, a 32-year-old with a history of injuries who is also in line for a significant contract extension this summer. Windhorst highlighted that teams are wary of the investment required for an aging, injury-prone star.
James Harden and Kawhi Leonard
The Clippers are contemplating their future around 2027, with the potential to trade either James Harden or Kawhi Leonard. However, while Harden is showcasing All-Star form at a manageable salary, finding a trade partner for Leonard could prove difficult due to his hefty contract and injury history. Insights from league insiders suggest that Harden holds neutral value, whereas Leonard’s value might be seen as negative.
Trae Young, LaMelo Ball, and Ja Morant
These three point guards are also under scrutiny as potential trade candidates, especially with teams considering significant roster changes. However, the likelihood of a trade seems low currently, as opinions around their value vary greatly among executives. Nonetheless, the offseason may bring renewed interest or potential deals as their situations evolve.
