The Oklahoma Sooners are set to face off against the UConn Huskies in the NCAA Tournament, with the game scheduled to begin at 9:25 p.m. ET on TNT.
UConn enters the match as a 5.5-point favorite, accompanied by a moneyline of -230. The over/under for the game stands at 148.5 points.
Below are my predictions for Oklahoma vs. UConn along with college basketball insights for March 21, 2025.
Oklahoma vs UConn Prediction
My Pick: UConn -6.5 or Better
My best betting choice for the Oklahoma vs. UConn matchup is to back the Huskies on the spread, with the optimal odds currently available through DraftKings. For the most favorable college basketball betting lines, use our live NCAAB odds page.
Oklahoma vs UConn Odds
| Oklahoma Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|
+5.5 -110 |
148.5 -105o / -115u |
+190 |
| UConn Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|
-5.5 -110 |
148.5 -105o / -115u |
-230 |
- Oklahoma vs UConn spread: UConn -5.5
- Oklahoma vs UConn over/under: 148.5 points
- Oklahoma vs UConn moneyline: UConn -230, Oklahoma +190
- Oklahoma vs UConn best bet: UConn -6.5 or Better
Spread
The Huskies’ strength inside gives them a significant opportunity to not only win but potentially dominate this game.
Moneyline
The moneyline for UConn does not offer much value as a favorite.
Over/Under
With both teams displaying questionable defenses, I lean towards the over.
My Pick: UConn -6.5 or Better
Oklahoma vs UConn College Basketball Betting Overview
Both squads have experienced tumultuous seasons.
UConn’s pursuit of a third straight national title has been quite dramatic, beginning with a winless stint in Maui followed by impressive victories over Baylor, Texas, Gonzaga, and Xavier.
However, star freshman Liam McNeeley’s injury set back the team’s offensive progress, resulting in a 6-6 record during his absence. Upon his return, UConn finished the regular season strong, winning four consecutive games before falling in the Big East Tournament semifinals.
Head coach Danny Hurley has attracted attention for his passionate sidelines demeanor, often voicing his frustrations, particularly regarding his team’s defensive performance, which ranks 96th in the nation—far below their potential. Though rim protector Samson Johnson contributes to the team’s impressive block rate, the squad struggles with fouls leading to their low rankings in free throw rate allowed.
Oklahoma’s season trajectory resembles more of a water ride. They began with an undefeated streak of 13-0, bolstered by a subpar non-conference schedule. However, their entry into the SEC proved challenging, leading to a conference record of 6-12, yet they secured a tournament bid thanks to earlier victories against teams like Michigan and Arizona.
Similar to UConn, defensive deficiencies were a major issue for Oklahoma, particularly in the interior, which has contributed to their poor 2-point defense ranking. With both teams’ vulnerabilities on this end, it raises the question of whether Oklahoma can capitalize on UConn’s aggressive defense to draw fouls or if UConn will simply overpower them in the painted area.
Ultimately, it appears more plausible that UConn will dominate, showing they are capable of scoring consistently, even amidst a challenging matchup, potentially leading them to a swift victory over Oklahoma.
