The Open Heavyweight Division
The heavyweight boxing scene appears to be more dynamic than it has been in years. While established names like Oleksandr Usyk, Tyson Fury, Deontay Wilder, and Anthony Joshua remain key contenders, a surge of upcoming fighters is ready to seize their chance to ascend the ranks.
What Must Rising Stars Do?
To break into the elite group, contenders like Fabio Wardley, Moses Itauma, and Richard Torrez Jr. need to prove themselves. Usyk currently holds three heavyweight titles (WBC, WBA, IBF), while Wardley was elevated to WBO champion after Usyk vacated the title last year. The question looms: will the other titles change hands? How many bouts does Fury have left? Can Joshua and Wilder reclaim their spots in the title race?
Title Outlook for 2026
It’s an intricate scenario, but Usyk is likely to retain at least one of his titles come the end of the year, despite potential stripping due to overdue mandatory defenses. Speculation suggests Usyk may engage in a crossover fight against kickboxer Rico Verhoeven, which could jeopardize his championship status. Agit Kabayel (27-0, 19 KOs) is poised to ascend to full champion if Usyk is stripped, while Moses Itauma (13-0, 11 KOs) could contend for the WBA title this year if he wins his upcoming fight.
Fury’s Future Fights
Fury’s trajectory depends on his comeback bout against Arslanbek Makhmudov on April 11, and a potential clash with either Usyk, Wardley, or Joshua later in September. At 37 and with a history of retirements, Fury might face at least three more fights before considering stepping away again.
Wilder and Joshua’s Road to Redemption
Despite appearing out of the title picture, both Wilder and Joshua hold significant earning potential that might secure them title shots this year. Joshua’s future is uncertain following a tragic loss in his inner circle, while Wilder aims to bounce back with a strong showing against Derek Chisora in April. A victory could provide him a shot at Usyk later in the year.
Potential Matchups for Usyk
While other threats loom, including Itauma, Wilder remains a significant draw for Usyk’s next bout. A fight against Kabayel in Germany would be notable, but bigger events in the U.S. against Wilder or in the U.K. against Fury are much anticipated. It’s unlikely Usyk will meet Joshua, given their past connections.
Projected Heavyweight Rankings for 2026
By the end of 2026, Usyk should top the rankings, possibly following a win over Fury or another prominent fighter. Fury, after a successful return, may reclaim his place alongside Kabayel, Itauma, Wardley, Dubois, and others. Joshua’s fortunes could shift significantly if he manages a major win this year.
