Every MLB team is currently eyeing the Dodgers, particularly in the National League, where teams recognize that the path to the World Series likely goes through Chavez Ravine.
However, the Dodgers are not the only top contender in the NL. This offseason has seen several top teams making significant moves to better position themselves as league leaders. Let’s examine the NL teams that appear most capable of challenging the Dodgers, ranked by their likelihood of success.
1. Mets
Many might question why the Mets are ranked first following their disappointing performance that led to missing the postseason last year. Nonetheless, that season was marked by underachievement from a very talented roster. After revamping about 30% of their players, the Mets remain among the most skilled teams in MLB.
This offseason has been peculiar yet intriguing in Queens. The Mets are taking bold defensive risks, such as moving Bo Bichette to third base and Jorge Polanco to first. With the departure of Díaz to the Dodgers, it remains to be seen if relying on Devin Williams’ metrics instead of sticking with established players was the right move. The roster does come with notable injury concerns.
2. Braves
Despite the risk of displeasing fans in Philadelphia, I’m positioning the Braves, who faced their own disappointing season in 2025, ahead of the defending NL East champions in this analysis. Their problems were largely due to injuries, impacting key players like Chris Sale and Spencer Strider.
The Braves’ potential looks promising, especially with the return of a healthy Sale and Strider, alongside bolstered bullpen options in Robert Suárez and Raisel Iglesias. Additionally, the full season presence of Ronald Acuña Jr. could significantly strengthen their lineup.
3. Phillies
While the Phillies could easily be ranked higher, I found their offseason somewhat lackluster. Given their inconsistent postseason performances, aging roster, and questions surrounding their rotation, I feel more comfortable placing them here.
As of now, the uncertainty surrounding Zack Wheeler’s recovery from surgery leaves doubts about whether he will regain his ace status. The aging roster could be a concern, as the Phillies are among the oldest teams in the league, needing to prove themselves while the window of opportunity gradually closes.
4. Cubs
The Cubs managed to retain a solid roster while not making significant efforts to keep Tucker, which raises some eyebrows about their big-market status. However, they still present a formidable 92-win team from last year, showing potential as contenders.
The Cubs need to cement themselves as genuine contenders by addressing any weaknesses that arise during the season, particularly if they want to challenge the Dodgers come postseason.
5. Brewers
Placing the Cubs above the Brewers might seem controversial, but projections suggest a higher ceiling for the Cubs. Yet, the Brewers finished the previous season with the best record at 97-65, and their pitching staff remains a significant asset.
While the Brewers lack dramatic offensive upgrades this offseason, their pitching depth is notable. The acquisition of Angel Zerpa is promising, but the team might need to seek more substantial offensive support to improve their standing against the Dodgers.
6. The Rest of the West
The Padres, Diamondbacks, and Giants each face immense challenges in outperforming the Dodgers in the NL West. Nonetheless, playoff scenarios could offer them opportunities to excel, akin to the Padres’ past success.
The Padres appear tested with injuries to key players but still hold potential. Meanwhile, the Giants, despite a lack of impressive moves this offseason, could see their fortunes change if top prospect Bryce Eldridge lives up to expectations.
7. The Field
The Dodgers, while prevalent contenders, faced a scare last postseason, proving that any playoff team can pose a threat, regardless of regular-season performance. This unpredictability makes it essential not to overlook lower-seeded playoff contenders, as teams like the Reds or a revitalized Pirates could pull an upset.
In conclusion, it’s vital to stay vigilant of any dark horse candidates emerging from the playoff race who might catch the Dodgers off guard when it matters most.
