The upcoming UFC pay-per-view is close to Abu Dhabi, and here are some betting tips for UFC 321.
In the main event, Tom Aspinall is set to defend his heavyweight title for the first time against former interim champion Ciryl Gane. The co-main event features a fight for the vacant strawweight championship between Mackenzie Dern and Virna Jandiroba.
Additionally, Umar Nurmagomedov, a former title challenger, aims to return to victory against the rising Mario Bautista. The main card also includes a compelling match between Alexander Volkov and Jailton Almeida, along with a light heavyweight clash featuring Aleksandar Rakic and Azamat Murzakanov.
UFC 321 Betting Tips and Odds
Tom Aspinall vs Ciryl Gane – Aspinall Wins by Submission (+260)
The matchup between Aspinall and Gane is evenly contested, especially on the striking front. Aspinall is known for his powerful punches, swift kicks, and refined boxing skills, boasting 12 career TKO/KO finishes, including three consecutive first-round stoppages in his last UFC bouts.
Conversely, Gane has Muay Thai roots and excels at evading strikes; however, he does have a significant weakness. He struggles with wrestling, as highlighted by his two losses—one against Francis Ngannou, where he was taken down multiple times, and another against Jon Jones, who dominated him with wrestling and achieved a quick submission.
Aspinall’s ground game is often underestimated, as he is a legitimate BJJ black belt, having recorded three submissions and boasting a perfect takedown accuracy rate in the UFC. It seems probable that Aspinall will aim to bring the fight to the ground, making a bet on him winning by submission appealing, particularly at +240.
Virna Jandiroba vs Mackenzie Dern – Dern Outright (+102)
The co-main event is a rematch between Jandiroba and Dern, who previously fought in 2020, with Dern winning by a unanimous decision (29-28 on all cards). The initial fight mainly took place on the feet, with Dern slightly edging out in striking despite struggled takedown attempts.
Since then, Jandiroba holds a record of 6-1, while Dern is at 5-4, although Dern’s takedown efficiency has improved. Following their last fight, her takedown success rate increased significantly from 7.6% to 22%. Jandiroba has a strong takedown defense, so this rematch is likely to remain standing. Expect Dern to rely on her coach, Jason Parillo, to devise a solid strategy to emerge victorious.
Nathaniel Wood vs Jose Delgado – Wood Outright (+136)
The preliminary card features an exciting featherweight bout between Nathaniel Wood and Jose Delgado. Wood, also known as The Last Kingsman, is looking to extend his momentum after a notable victory over Morgan Charriere in March. He faces a tough opponent in Delgado, who is on a seven-fight winning streak and has never gone the distance in a fight.
Wood must be cautious as he competes against Delgado, who possesses formidable power at 145 pounds. Having previously faced a similar aggressive striker in Charriere, Wood’s experience should help secure a win. Consider placing a bet on Wood alongside Aspinall to capitalize on this British duo’s potential success.
