Essential DFS Picks and Strategies for UFC Mexico
DFS selections for UFC Mexico this weekend are now available. This preview provides profiles for each fighter along with a breakdown of my DFS strategy for every match on the card. Welcome to Drake’s Takes.
Key UFC Mexico Picks & Career Outcomes:
Total Picks for 2026: 39-13-0
Total Picks for 2025: 345-152-2
DFS Lock of the Week: Edgar Chairez
Fanduel Captain: Chairez/Moreno
Brandon Moreno (23-9-2) vs. Lone’er Kavanagh (9-1-0)
- Height: 5’7″ – Reach: 70″ – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 23-9-2 (5 KO/TKO, 11 submissions)
- Known for elite cardio, pace, and grappling skills
- Highly versatile, adept at mixing striking and wrestling
- Height: 5’6″ – Reach: 67″ – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 9-1 (4 KO/TKO, 1 submission)
- A rising star known for quickness and confidence
- Facing an experienced veteran in a tough matchup
DFS Analysis: Moreno’s extensive experience and fist-fighting skills make him a strong DFS candidate, as he has multiple scoring avenues through his striking volume and grappling. Kavanagh has potential but faces a challenging opponent in Moreno. Expect Moreno to be a high-value DFS pick with significant scoring chances.
UFC Mexico Prediction: Moreno
Marlon Vera (23-11-1) vs. David Martinez (13-1-0)
- Height: 5’8″ – Reach: 70″ – Stance: Switch
- Record: 23-11-1 (8 KO/TKO, 10 submissions)
- A resilient finisher known for late-fight stamina
- Often a slow starter who may concede early rounds
- Height: 5’5″ – Reach: 67″ – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 13-1 (10 KO/TKO)
- A fast, aggressive newcomer with solid early output
- Likes to capitalize on slower opponents
DFS Analysis: Vera’s tendency to start slow could be problematic against the swift Martinez, who should be able to score heavily in early rounds. While Vera retains a dangerous finishing ability, Martinez appears to offer better DFS value due to his activity level and pressure.
UFC Mexico Prediction: Martinez
Daniel Zellhuber (15-3-0) vs. King Green (33-17-1)
- Height: 6’1″ – Reach: 77″ – Stance: Switch
- Record: 15-3 (7 KO/TKO, 3 submissions)
- Technical striker with impressive distance control
- Growing in confidence and composure each fight
- Height: 5’10” – Reach: 71″ – Stance: Orthodox
- Record: 33-17-1 (11 KO/TKO, 9 submissions)
- Skilled boxer with defensive acumen
- Issues with inconsistency and age linger
DFS Analysis: Although Green can be competitive, Zellhuber’s length and striking prowess make him the favorite for this match. He is likely to control exchanges effectively, providing him with a better DFS projection. Expect Zellhuber to score efficiently and hold strong decision equity.
UFC Mexico Prediction: Zellhuber
