RotoWire has live updates on the top MMA bets, best DFS picks from various platforms, and predictions for this weekend’s UFC 323 event ahead of Saturday’s international showdown.
Top Picks and Predictions for UFC 323, Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
The UFC returns with its final pay-per-view event of the year, showcasing two title fights in a 14-bout lineup. We’ll analyze each matchup across three platforms, featuring a rising star facing a sport legend and a powerful striker needing to counter a proficient wrestler. The betting lines provided are sourced from the RotoWire MMA Betting Page and are current as of this article’s posting.
DraftKings Considerations
Petr Yan performed well in various aspects during his first fight against Merab; however, “No Mercy” was outpaced by “The Machine” in the later rounds. Yan’s slower style, which emphasizes building momentum, is likely to suffer under Merab’s relentless pressure.
Brandon Moreno excelled in boxing against Pantoja, suggesting that someone like Van could also land effective jabs and counter strikes. With an 81% takedown defense, supporting the underdog begins to look enticing, although Pantoja’s potent calf kicks present a challenge for Van. If Van endures the early phases, he may capitalize on any fatigue Pantoja incurs.
Moreno’s boxing abilities should surpass Tatsuro Taira‘s rigid striking. Taira has never convincingly outgrappled Moreno, who could exhaust him in scrambles. Since this bout is only three rounds, the dynamics are different, but Moreno’s overall skill set favors him for a likely win.
Prize Picks Highlights – Significant Strikes
Edson Barboza OVER 29.5 Significant Strikes, Mairon Santos OVER 47.5 Significant Strikes, and Antonio Trocoli OVER 10.5 Significant Strikes
The oddsmakers may expect Barboza to have a short fight, but “Junior” is known for his resilience and should effectively utilize leg kicks. Jalin Turner enters this matchup with a height advantage, yet his recent remarks about a lack of enthusiasm for fighting make his performance unpredictable.
Moreover, Santos excels at maintaining distance and striking from his Muay Thai foundation. Muhammadjon Naimov might attempt wrestling, but his tendency to get cornered limits his control against skilled strikers.
Betting Insights
Henry Cejudo revitalized his approach with a movement-focused strategy that caught opponents off guard. At 38, “The Messenger” now finds himself flat-footed, making him susceptible to quicker fighters like Yadong Song, who capitalized on this during their bout.
In the case of Grant Dawson, the decision lies in his capacity for grappling versus his opponent’s standup ability. I am banking on Dawson’s opponent prevailing in keeping the fight standing long enough to land significant strikes, as evidenced by Torres’ strong takedown defense and striking accuracy.
For further insights on UFC bets, take a look at our MMA Best Bets for UFC 323, and for the latest in UFC odds, visit the RotoWire MMA Betting section.
