If the upcoming 2025 U.S. Open mirrors the last four iterations, fans can expect excitement right up to Hole No. 72. Each of the previous four U.S. Opens was decided by just one stroke, with notable winners including Bryson DeChambeau, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Jon Rahm, while players like Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy fell short. Should the 2025 U.S. Open also conclude with a narrow victory or a playoff, it will match the record for consecutive major tournaments determined by fewer than two strokes. The event is slated to start on Thursday, June 12, at Oakmont Country Club. Scottie Scheffler, the PGA Championship winner, leads the odds as a +320 favorite, followed closely by Masters champion Rory McIlroy, sitting at +550.
DeChambeau is listed at +900, while other notable contenders include Xander Schauffele (+1700), Ludvig Aberg (+1800), and Collin Morikawa (+2200). Before making your picks for the 2025 U.S. Open, check out the predictions and projected leaderboard from SportsLine’s reliable golf model.
SportsLine’s advanced model is created by DFS expert Mike McClure and has been on a winning streak since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. The model has generated nearly $9,000 in profits from its best bets, consistently predicting the winners of numerous tournaments.
This model has accurately forecasted 15 majors heading into the weekends, including the 2025 Masters—marking its fourth consecutive successful prediction—and the 2025 PGA Championship. Individuals who have followed its betting advice have enjoyed significant returns from betting platforms, especially for those using the latest FanDuel promo code, DraftKings promo code, and Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.
With the 2025 U.S. Open field beginning to form, SportsLine has simulated the tournament 10,000 times, leading to some unexpected outcomes. Visit SportsLine now to view the projected leaderboard.
2025 U.S. Open Predictions
One significant prediction from the model is that Jon Rahm, a former U.S. Open champion and two-time major winner, is expected to struggle, finishing just outside the top 10. Although Rahm was competitive at the PGA Championship, he ended on a down note with a bogey and two double-bogeys, resulting in a T-8 finish. His recent inaccuracy off the tee, marked by a 53.6% driving accuracy at the PGA Championship, raises concerns given the challenging conditions anticipated at Oakmont.
In contrast, Patrick Cantlay, a +4200 longshot, is expected to perform exceptionally well. He has historically shown promise at the U.S. Open, tying for third last year, and has more top-25 finishes in this major than any other. With strong metrics in greens in regulation and strokes gained, Cantlay is viewed as undervalued in the betting market for the 2025 U.S. Open.
How to Make 2025 U.S. Open Picks
The model also identifies three additional golfers with odds of 20-1 or longer who are projected to make a strong push for the title. Betting on these longshots could yield substantial rewards. See the model’s picks here.
Who will emerge victorious in the 2025 U.S. Open, and which underdogs might surprise? Review the odds below and then visit SportsLine for the projected leaderboard and insights from a model that has successfully predicted 15 golf majors.
2025 U.S. Open Odds, Favorites
Explore full picks, best bets, and predictions for the 2025 U.S. Open here.
Scottie Scheffler +320
Rory McIlroy +550
Bryson DeChambeau +900
Jon Rahm +1200
Xander Schauffele +1700
Ludvig Aberg +1800
Collin Morikawa +2200
Viktor Hovland +2600
Justin Thomas +3300
Brooks Koepka +3300
Tommy Fleetwood +3300
Shane Lowry +3600
Sungjae Im +4100
Matt Fitzpatrick +4100
Hideki Matsuyama +4100
Adam Scott +4100
Patrick Cantlay +4200
Tyrrell Hatton +5000
Min Woo Lee +5000
Sam Burns +5000
Justin Rose +5000
Tony Finau +5000
Cam Smith +5000
Wyndham Clark +5000
Tom Kim +6000
Corey Conners +6000
Si Woo Kim +6500
Russell Henley +6500
Sepp Straka +6500
Jordan Spieth +6500
Jason Day +6500
Brian Harman +8000
Max Homa +8000
Dustin Johnson +8000
Byeong Hun An +8000
Will Zalatoris +8000
Cameron Young +8000
Sahith Theegala +8000
Daniel Berger +9000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +10000
Sergio Garcia +10000
Nick Dunlap +10000
Dean Burmester +10000
Akshay Bhatia +10000
Robert MacIntyre +10000
Alex Noren +10000
Keegan Bradley +10000
Ryan Fox +12000
Billy Horschel +12000
Davis Thompson +12000
Aaron Rai +12000
Rickie Fowler +12000
Nicolai Hojgaard +12000
Adam Hadwin +12000
Harris English +12000
J.T. Poston +15000
Victor Perez +15000
Kurt Kitayama +15000
Mackenzie Hughes +15000
Austin Eckroat +15000
Tom Hoge +15000
Erik van Rooyen +15000
Taylor Pendrith +15000
Adrian Meronk +15000
Denny McCarthy +15000
Matthieu Pavon +15000
