As the NBA season approaches, fantasy basketball players assess what to expect from athletes across the league. While last season’s statistics offer a foundation, many variables—including age and team changes—can significantly affect player expectations.
Who are the players who have exceeded expectations this season? And who are the players who have not performed as anticipated?
Fantasy analysts Andre Snellings, Eric Moody, Eric Karabell, Steve Alexander, and Jim McCormick share their insights.
Surprises
Kon Knueppel, SG, Charlotte Hornets: Knueppel has been a standout, particularly as an undrafted rookie. He has impressed with his playmaking and three-point shooting, contributing well on the boards. His performance positions him as a strong Rookie of the Year contender, leading all rookies with 19.4 points per game while also excelling in three-pointers made and attempted. This production offers the Hornets valuable flexibility as they assess their long-term backcourt alongside LaMelo Ball. — Moody
Keyonte George, PG/SG, Utah Jazz: George’s development has been remarkable this season, seeing his scoring average jump from 16.8 points per game last year to 24.3 this year. He’s not only upping his volume but also his shooting efficiency, going from 39.1% to 45.2% from the field. This breakout year positions him as a potential All-Star. — Snellings
Collin Gillespie, PG, Phoenix Suns: Once thought to have minimal future as a fantasy asset, Gillespie has emerged as a starter for the Suns and is now among the top 50 fantasy point scorers. His contributions in assists, steals, and three-pointers are noteworthy, outpacing players like Ja Morant and Darius Garland. — Karabell
Disappointments
Bam Adebayo, PF/C, Miami Heat: Despite being a reliable fantasy contributor in previous seasons, Adebayo’s performance has fallen short this year, averaging more than five fewer fantasy points per game. His scoring, passing, and shooting efficiency have all decreased, leading to his disappointing fantasy ranking. — Karabell
Trae Young, PG, Washington Wizards: Young is struggling to meet his expected value due to efficiency drops, injury issues, and defensive struggles. Limited to just 10 games this season due to injury, he has seen his scoring average decline for the fourth consecutive year, now sitting at just 19.3 points per game. — Moody

