Preview and Prediction: Xavier vs. Illinois in March Madness
The Xavier Musketeers and the Illinois Fighting Illini are set to clash in a first-round showdown of the NCAA Tournament, featuring the No. 11 and No. 6 seeds in the Midwest Region.
For comprehensive coverage and analysis during the NCAA Tournament, VSiN is your go-to resource. Utilize our betting tools, predictions, and game previews for every March Madness matchup. Access updated College Basketball Betting Splits from DraftKings and Circa Sports, along with Vegas College Basketball Odds and other resources.
Don’t miss Greg Peterson’s Daily-line updates and Steve Makinen’s Power Ratings, as well as insights from VSiN Experts.
Viewing Information for Xavier vs. Illinois
When: 9:45 p.m. ET on Friday, March 21st
Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Broadcast: CBS
Current Odds for Xavier vs. Illinois
(Odds at the time of publishing)
Spread: Illinois -3.5 (-110), Xavier +3.5 (-110)
Total: Over 158.5 (-110), Under 158.5 (-110)
DraftKings Betting Splits | Live College Basketball Odds | Matchup Page for Xavier vs. Illinois
Analysis and Prediction: Xavier vs. Illinois
Xavier recently fought back from a 13-point deficit in their First Four matchup against Texas, demonstrating resilience. With under five minutes remaining, John Hugley IV hit a crucial three-pointer that shifted the game’s momentum. Zach Freemantle later scored to secure an 80-78 lead for Xavier, and they held onto that advantage.
It will be intriguing to see how Xavier performs against Illinois, who ranks 23rd in Bart Torvik’s efficiency metrics. In comparison, Xavier sits at 37th overall but has been stronger since February 1st, ranking 26th, while Illinois has fallen to 40th. Illinois’ defensive struggles, particularly with a rating of 106.2 since February, present an avenue for Xavier to exploit in this matchup.
Although Illinois boasts a more potent offense, Xavier has the capability to produce against their defense, particularly with Freemantle potentially standing out after earlier foul issues. Moreover, Illinois ranks poorly in 3-point defense, placing 359th out of 364 teams since February in this area. Given Xavier’s effective 3-point shooting at 40.0%, they are well-positioned to capitalize on any open shots.
Xavier’s defense is competent enough to make stops in high-pressure situations, as Illinois struggles with their 31.1% 3-point shooting for the season, despite actively seeking these shots. This discrepancy could work in Xavier’s favor.
Sean Miller has a solid track record in neutral-court games (82-48), with a respectable March Madness record (22-12) despite any postseason coaching critiques.
Alternatively, consider focusing on the total score rather than the spread. Xavier has repeatedly ranked among the top 25 offensive teams since February, and Illinois has maintained offensive prowess throughout the season. With Illinois playing at a rapid pace, a high-scoring affair is certainly a possibility, particularly as Xavier has an average of 9-7 on total overs in away games this season.
Projected Final Score: Illinois 82, Xavier 78
For expert insights, visit our college basketball best bets page.
