Our Annual Tradition Returns
Each spring, we kick off the season by categorizing the 30 MLB teams into eight or nine tiers, based on their current circumstances. This practice, which we’ve maintained for several years, offers a subjective yet insightful way to prepare for the upcoming months by understanding each team’s position and objectives.
Understanding the Tiers
While this isn’t a straightforward ranking from “best to worst,” it helps in grouping teams with similar standings. A lower-tier team may outperform a higher-tier team in the future, but our aim is to capture the narratives we anticipate for the season.
Tier 1: History is Within Reach
The reigning back-to-back champions occupy their own tier. The Dodgers, having addressed two key issues by acquiring Kyle Tucker and Edwin Díaz, still have room for improvement. Despite concerns over an aging offensive core, their chances to win the World Series are significantly higher than any other team, as they aim to be the first in National League history to achieve three consecutive championships.
Tier 2: World Series Aspirations
Teams in this category made last year’s playoffs but face higher expectations this season. The Blue Jays had a noteworthy performance last year and made several offseason moves, although questions about key players remain. Similarly, the Yankees and Phillies aim to excel despite past disappointments, while the Mariners enter the season with lofty expectations after recent success.
Tier 3: Playoff Contenders on the Rise
With playoff hopes, the Braves and Orioles aim to continue a trend where a losing team from the previous year makes the playoffs. Adding the Mets to this tier reflects their potential for improvement after a lackluster season, as they retool around star players like Juan Soto.
Tier 4: The Underrated Duo
We acknowledge that the Brewers and Guardians often face an underrating from analysts yet continue to perform consistently well. Milwaukee had a remarkable season last year, while Cleveland’s offense needs significant improvements. Both teams have shown resilience and the potential for strong seasons ahead.
Future Outlooks: Hopes and Challenges
In the tiers below, we see teams that may struggle in the upcoming season but are on paths to improvement. The Rockies and Nationals have shifted their management strategies, while the Cardinals and White Sox look to rebuild without hitting rock bottom. These teams may not contend this year, but they’re laying the groundwork for future success.
