The NASCAR Cup Series season continues on Sunday at Michigan International Speedway, which will host the 2025 Firekeepers Casino 400 at 2 p.m. ET. Tyler Reddick, the defending champion, ended a streak of nine consecutive victories by Ford drivers. Ryan Blaney is the top betting pick for Ford, having won this race in 2021 and recently secured a victory in Nashville. Kyle Larson is favored at +525 (bet $100 to win $525) in the odds for the 2025 Firekeepers Casino 400, while Denny Hamlin and Blaney are both at +650.
William Byron (+800) and Reddick (+850) are the only other drivers with single-digit odds in the starting lineup for the 2025 Firekeepers Casino 400. If you’re considering your bets for the race or setting up NASCAR DFS lineups on platforms like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to check out the latest predictions from SportsLine’s reliable projection model.
This model, created by daily Fantasy expert and SportsLine data engineer Mike McClure, simulates each race 10,000 times, considering factors such as historical track performance and recent race results. It correctly predicted Chase Elliott’s victory with +300 odds at the Clash at Bowman Gray and called Byron as a solid +2000 longshot at Daytona. The model also forecasted Kyle Larson’s win in Miami for a +350 payout and Christopher Bell’s triumph in the NASCAR All-Star Race at +600.
Throughout 2024, it accurately forecasted Larson’s win in Las Vegas at 21-5 odds, as well as Denny Hamlin’s successes in Bristol at 5-1 and Richmond at 17-4. Impressively, the model anticipated five of Larson’s victories during his record-setting season in 2021. Since 2021, it has accurately predicted 20 winners, including nine in 2023 and three in the early part of last season. Users who followed its recommendations through various betting apps enjoyed substantial returns.
Key Predictions for the 2025 Firekeepers Casino 400
The model is placing high expectations on Joey Logano, a longshot at +1600. He’s definitely a contender for those searching for a potentially big payout. As the reigning NASCAR Cup Series champion, Logano secured a win in Texas earlier this year, and his fourth-place finish in Nashville has propelled him to eighth in the standings.
Logano has achieved significant success at Michigan International Speedway, having won there three times and placed in the top 10 in 18 out of 28 career starts. With Ford drivers winning nine of the last 10 races at Michigan, Penske Racing is in high spirits after placing two cars in the top five last week. BetMGM offers the best odds for Logano as the outright winner, and there’s a promotion to get a bonus if your first bet wins.
Furthermore, the model is backing Carson Hocevar to finish in the top 10 at -112 odds. As the 2024 NASCAR Rookie of the Year, he’s already logged two second-place finishes this season, including a recent strong performance in Nashville. Being a Michigan native makes this race particularly important for him, as he searches for his first Cup Series victory.
Making Your 2025 NASCAR at Michigan Picks
The model is also focusing on three additional drivers with Michigan odds of 16-1 or greater, which could yield significant returns. If you decide to support these picks, it could prove to be lucrative. Check out SportsLine for all the model’s NASCAR picks, prop bets, and projected leaderboard.
So, who will emerge victorious in the 2025 NASCAR Firekeepers Casino 400, and which underdogs should you consider? Review the latest odds for the 2025 NASCAR at Michigan below, and visit SportsLine to see the complete projected leaderboard, curated by the model that has accurately predicted 21 winners.
2025 NASCAR Michigan Odds and Driver Lineup
(Odds are subject to change)
Kyle Larson +525
Denny Hamlin +650
Ryan Blaney +650
William Byron +800
Tyler Reddick +850
Christopher Bell +1000
Ross Chastain +1400
Joey Logano +1600
Chase Elliott +2000
Chris Buescher +2000
Carson Hocevar +2000
Chase Briscoe +2200
Brad Keselowski +2500
Bubba Wallace +2500
Alex Bowman +2500
Josh Berry +3500
Kyle Busch +3500
Ty Gibbs +5000
Ryan Preece +6000
Austin Cindric +6000
Erik Jones +6000
Daniel Suarez +10000
AJ Allmendinger +10000
Michael McDowell +12500
Zane Smith +12500
Austin Dillon +15000
Noah Gragson +15000
John Hunter Nemechek +20000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +20000
Todd Gilliland +25000
Justin Haley +25000
Riley Herbst +50000
Shane Van Gisbergen +50000
Cole Custer +50000
Ty Dillon +100000
Cody Ware +100000
