This weekend (Sat., Oct. 11, 2025), the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) heads to Farmasi Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. As with many international events, the attraction for non-local fans largely hinges on the main and co-main events. In this particular situation, the headliner has actually benefitted from an injury. While Rafael Fiziev deserves recognition, many were apprehensive about watching Charles Oliveira face a knockout specialist right after a loss to Ilia Topuria. A matchup against world-class grappler Mateusz Gamrot presents a more favorable style clash and remains highly significant in the division!
The rest of the card features a wealth of Brazilian fighters, several of whom are quite skilled. Let’s delve into the analysis and predictions for the four main card fights leading up to the co-main event:
Best Win for Luque? Belal Muhammad For Alvarez? Drakkar Klose
Current Streak: Luque lost his last fight; Alvarez has won three in a row.
X-Factor: This is Alvarez’s first bout at 170 pounds after struggling to make 155.
Matchup Analysis: A thrilling opener sets the tone for the night.
Luque’s prime days may be behind him, but the Brazilian still has heart. Since recovering from a serious health issue, “The Silent Assassin” has gone 2-2 against quality fighters. His durability and intensity have certainly diminished, which poses a challenge for a typically tough fighter.
Alvarez, primarily a Lightweight contender, has claimed victory in six of his last seven bouts, his only loss to top-tier talent Arman Tsarukyan. Now competing at 170 pounds, he may find himself in a more fitting matchup. Regardless of weight, Alvarez boasts a creative striking style and a robust submission game.
Prediction: Alvarez via submission
Best Win for Diniz? Karl Williams For Pinto? Austen Lane
Current Streak: Diniz won his last bout; Pinto recently debuted successfully in the UFC.
X-Factor: Two unranked Heavyweight knockout specialists promise excitement.
Matchup Analysis: A fun clash expected to entertain, no matter the duration.
Diniz is a skilled striker with a background in Muay Thai and kickboxing. Despite his striking prowess, his cardio and grappling need improvement. On the other hand, Pinto, a formidable young talent from London, stands 6’5” and emphasizes speed over pure power, presenting a more balanced skill set for an emerging fighter.
