Sebastian Fundora is set to defend his WBC junior middleweight title against Keith Thurman this Saturday at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas (Prime Video PPV, 7 p.m. ET).
Fundora (23-1-1, 15 KOs) claimed his title with a split decision victory over Tim Tszyu in March 2024 and has successfully defended it twice, including a seventh-round TKO in their rematch last July.
Standing at 6 feet 5½ inches tall with an 80-inch reach, Fundora poses a unique challenge for his opponents. He can effectively fight from a distance, yet also thrives in close quarters, utilizing volume punches and body shots to exhaust his rivals. As a -380 favorite, Fundora’s skills are well recognized by bettors.
Thurman (31-1, 23 KOs), a former unified welterweight champion, has seen limited action since his split decision defeat to Manny Pacquiao in September 2019, having fought just twice and winning his latest bout against Brock Jarvis by stoppage in March 2025.
Despite his inactivity, Thurman’s extensive experience could be advantageous. He has overcome several top challengers in the welterweight class and must rely on agility to avoid Fundora’s range. With knockout power in both hands, Thurman’s overhand right may prove crucial against the taller champion.
Experts predict that Fundora will leverage his size and intensity to dominate Thurman, while the underdog may find victory through strategic experience and power. The insights from former champions Shawn Porter, Danny Garcia, and Raul Marquez suggest that while Fundora is favored, Thurman’s knockout potential could lead to an upset.
