The 2026 Valero Texas Open is set to begin this Thursday at 8:30 a.m. ET at TPC San Antonio – The Oaks Course, marking the conclusion of a two-event series in Texas. Although Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy are absent as they prepare for upcoming majors, the tournament features a solid lineup that includes top-10 players from the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR), such as Tommy Fleetwood and Russell Henley. According to the latest odds from FanDuel, Fleetwood and Ludvig Åberg are co-favorites at +1500, while Russell Henley follows closely at +1600, alongside Jordan Spieth and Robert MacIntyre, both at +1800. However, Collin Morikawa and Gary Woodland have withdrawn from the tournament.
Before finalizing your picks for the 2026 Valero Texas Open or participating in any ‘one and done’ contests or PGA DFS games on platforms like FanDuel or DraftKings, make sure to check out the predictions and projected leaderboard from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
Developed by DFS expert Mike McClure, SportsLine’s proprietary model has simulated each PGA Tour event 10,000 times, providing golf betting picks that have shown great success historically.
The model has accurately predicted outcomes in 16 major tournaments, including the 2025 Masters—its fourth consecutive correct prediction in that tournament—as well as last year’s PGA Championship and Open Championship. Those who have followed its sports betting picks have likely enjoyed significant returns on investment through betting sites.
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Predictions for the 2026 Valero Texas Open
The model has made some intriguing predictions for the Texas Open in 2026. For instance, it forecasts that Russell Henley barely makes the top 5, despite being a heavily favored participant. Henley has not secured a top 5 finish in any event this year, leading the model to place him lower in the rankings. Although he finished fourth in the 2024 edition of this event, he missed competing in 2025, and his past performances in Texas Open events have included a T52 finish and a missed cut. Learn about other players to consider avoiding here.
Another unexpected outcome is that Sepp Straka is projected as a top-10 contender despite being categorized as a longshot at +2700. The 32-year-old Austrian has consistently placed in the top 20 in four of his last five events, including a notable T8 at The Players Championship recently. Although his previous Texas Open performances were underwhelming, last year he improved significantly, finishing T22 after a strong weekend. The model sees value in Straka this week. Discover who else might be worth picking here.
Making Picks for the 2026 Valero Texas Open
The model is also focusing on various longshot candidates, including one at 30-1 who could make a surprising run at the title. You can access the model’s detailed picks here.
Who will emerge victorious at the 2026 Texas Open, and which unexpected contenders will make waves? Check out the odds below for the Texas Open and then visit SportsLine for the projected leaderboard and insights from the model that has successfully predicted 16 golf majors, including three in 2025.
2026 Valero Texas Open Odds and Favorites
View the complete 2026 Valero Texas Open picks, top bets, and forecasts here.
(Odds from FanDuel are subject to change)
Tommy Fleetwood +1500
Ludvig Åberg +1500
Russell Henley +1600
Jordan Spieth +1800
Robert MacIntyre +1800
Si Woo Kim +2200
Sepp Straka +2200
Hideki Matsuyama +2200
Maverick McNealy +2700
Michael Thorbjornsen +3000
Rickie Fowler +3000
J.J. Spaun +3300
Denny McCarthy +3300
Alex Noren +3300
Keith Mitchell +3500
Ryo Hisatsune +3500
Johnny Keefer +4000
Nick Taylor +5500
Sudarshan Yellamaraju +4500
Thorbjørn Olesen +4500
Richard Hoey +4500
Marco Penge +5000
Alex Smalley +6000
Tony Finau +6000
Will Zalatoris +6000
Brian Harman +6000
Jordan Smith +6500
Stephan Jaeger +6500
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +7000
Austin Smotherman +7000
Davis Thompson +7000
Matt Wallace +7000
Max McGreevy +7000
J.T. Poston +7000
Mac Meissner +7000
