Our betting analyst, Jones Knows, shares his predictions for the upcoming Premier League matches this weekend.
Brentford vs Chelsea, Sunday 2pm
Chelsea has certainly felt the absence of Nicolas Jackson. His performance against Tottenham highlighted how crucial he is for the team’s style, as he effectively combines powerful runs behind the defense and ball-holding skills that help involve players like Cole Palmer in the attack.
Quantitative metrics bolster Jackson’s importance; during his nine-game absence, Chelsea’s expected goals per 90 minutes dropped to 1.10, with an average of only 1.25 goals scored. Notably, these matches included relatively weaker opponents such as Leicester, Southampton, and FC Copenhagen twice. When on the pitch, Chelsea’s goal average leaps to 1.9 per game, demonstrating his significant impact.
Jackson has also netted in both recent encounters against Brentford and is a strong candidate to score again in this away bout, available at odds of 100/30 with Sky Bet.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
Fulham vs Liverpool, Sunday 2pm, live on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Liverpool is targeting a total of 13 points from their remaining eight fixtures to secure the Premier League title. Coach Arne Slot has instilled a robust and professional approach in the team, making them difficult to defeat.
The team is on a remarkable run, remaining unbeaten in their last 26 league matches—this marks the club’s second-longest unbeaten streak in Premier League history. As the only side without losses away from home this season, Liverpool is favored to win this match at 4/5 with Sky Bet.
Diogo Jota, often referred to as Liverpool’s top Premier League finisher, has proven his mettle by averaging a goal every 142 minutes on the pitch, outperforming legends like Michael Owen and Robbie Fowler. Having scored the decisive goal recently, Jota is a reliable bet to score during this match, priced at 100/30.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2
Tottenham vs Southampton, Sunday 2pm
Since the departure of Ange Postecoglou, Tottenham’s scoring patterns seem misaligned with previous trends. Historically, the team thrived in high-scoring games; however, their last eight matches have only averaged 2.38 goals, indicating a decline in attacking momentum.
As Tottenham braces for a crucial Europa League fixture against Frankfurt, they may adopt a pragmatic approach in this match. This makes the bet for under 3.5 goals intriguing at odds of 8/11 with Sky Bet.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0 | JONES KNOWS’ BEST BET: Under 3.5 goals (8/11 with Sky Bet)
Manchester United vs Manchester City, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports – PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!
Given Manchester United’s current attacking struggles, backing them at odds of 9/4 with Sky Bet seems unwise, especially considering Manchester City’s defensive solidity recently. In their last 135 minutes of play, they conceded only a single shot and managed a mere expected goal value of 0.02.
The defensive pairing of Ruben Dias and Josko Gvardiol is showing remarkable balance, indicating City could potentially win this derby without conceding. Instead, I recommend placing a bet on Omar Marmoush to score at 6/5 with Sky Bet, as he’s been in enviable form, scoring in his last three appearances.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2
Leicester vs Newcastle, Monday 8pm, live on Sky Sports
Leicester’s latest encounter against Manchester City saw them achieve an extraordinary expected goals tally of just 0.02, the lowest in the Premier League this season. Following 15 losses in their last 17 matches across all competitions, Leicester is in dire straits, experiencing a record-breaking seven consecutive league defeats without scoring.
It’s hard to see home advantage playing a role, bringing potential gloom for Leicester fans as Newcastle seems poised to score several goals. For a valuable bet in this scenario, consider Jacob Murphy to provide an assist at 9/4 with Sky Bet, as he has delivered eight assists in his last 20 games, developing strong chemistry with Alexander Isak.
SCORE PREDICTION: 0-4
Jones Knows’ Best Bet…
- 1pt treble on: Ipswich to win, Aston Villa to win & under 3.5 goals in Tottenham vs Southampton (8/1 with Sky Bet) ❌
