The LIV Golf tour resumes play in Mexico City on Friday at 3:15 p.m. ET, with Club de Golf Chapultepec welcoming 54 competitors for a three-day tournament. This marks the first time LIV has taken place in Mexico City, as prior events were hosted in Mayakoba. This par 71 course stretches 7,385 yards, but due to its elevation of nearly 1.4 miles above sea level, players can expect it to play significantly shorter.
Following strong performances from Patrick Reed (3rd), Bryson DeChambeau (T5), Tyrrell Hatton (T14), and Jon Rahm (T14) at the Masters, LIV is entering this tournament with positive momentum. Jon Rahm leads the betting odds at +500 according to DraftKings Sportsbook, followed by DeChambeau (+700), Joaquin Niemann (+900), and Hatton (+1000). Longshot contenders include Brooks Koepka (+2000), Abraham Ancer (+2500), Dustin Johnson (+4000), and Phil Mickelson (+8000). Mickelson is currently ranked 12th in the LIV standings, with +400 odds to finish in the top 10 this week, making him an intriguing underdog pick.
Golf analyst Eric Cohen, who hosts the Tuesday night Early Wedge Best Bets Show on SportsLine’s YouTube channel, has identified three compelling longshot betting options for this week’s tournament. Cohen accurately predicted the outright winner of LIV Singapore 2025 (Joaquin Niemann at +800) and has called multiple LIV Golf events correctly in 2024, including wins by Niemann at Mayakoba and Johnson in Las Vegas.
Abraham Ancer (25-1)
Though Ancer was born in Texas, he has Mexican roots and is likely to cherish this competition more than others. He currently stands 13th in the LIV rankings, with notable finishes including T2 at Adelaide, T10 at Singapore, and T12 at Hong Kong. Ancer also placed T3 at an Asian Tour event in India and T14 in Macau last month. Despite having only one LIV Tour victory in Hong Kong last year, Ancer has maintained consistent performance, achieving six top-10 finishes in his last 15 LIV tournaments, making him a valuable longshot option at 25-1.
Carlos Ortiz (22-1)
Born in Guadalajara, Ortiz is likely to find additional motivation to excel in this event. He represents an excellent longshot this weekend due to his current good form, having finished T2 at LIV Adelaide and recently winning at the Asian Tour’s International Series Macau. Following that, the 33-year-old secured a 4th place at LIV Miami, showing strong performance both in approach shots and putting. As the winner of the International Series Oman last year and LIV Houston last June, Ortiz sits in 8th place in the LIV rankings and is worth considering for bettors looking for alternatives to the frontrunners.
Cameron Smith (30-1)
Despite a drop in form compared to his previous status as a top-10 player and 2023 Open Championship winner, Smith remains a potentially valuable bet at these odds. He missed the cut at the Masters but showed improvement with a T9 finish at LIV Miami before that. His struggles have largely stemmed from poor performance off the tee and on approach shots, where he has lost strokes in every event this season except one. However, Smith has excelled around the green and with his putting skills, gaining approximately 16 strokes in those areas over five LIV events this season. Given his competitive potential and the generous odds, Smith could be an appealing longshot.
LIV Golf Mexico City 2025 Betting Picks
You’ve read the latest expert picks for LIV Mexico City. For more insights, including forecasts for the Zurich Classic leaderboard featuring teams like Rory McIlroy and Shane Lowry as well as Kurt Kitayama and Collin Morikawa, visit SportsLine. This model has accurately predicted outcomes for 14 golf majors, including four of the last Masters and three majors in 2024.
For more expert advice as you finalize your PGA Tour selections, check out SportsLine for Cohen’s best bets on a potential $1 million parlay, from a reliable expert who has successfully predicted the tournament winner in seven events over the past two years.
