On Sunday, the NASCAR circuit will visit Texas Motor Speedway for the 2025 Wurth 400. Achievements on 1.5-mile tracks frequently shape a driver’s season, and Chevrolet has seen some unexpected top-five finishes so far in 2025. Carson Hocevar took second place in Atlanta, with betting odds as favorable as +1100 for a top-five finish at Texas, according to BetMGM Sportsbook. Additionally, Daniel Suarez secured second in Las Vegas and is at +750 on FanDuel.
Betting on straight winners is also available, with Kyle Larson being the +500 favorite for the 2025 Wurth 400. The race is set to begin at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday. Before making any 2025 Wurth 400 wagers, NASCAR DFS lineups on platforms like DraftKings and FanDuel, or securing NASCAR props on sites such as PrizePicks, Sleeper Fantasy, and Underdog Fantasy, make sure to check out the latest predictions from SportsLine’s model.
The proprietary NASCAR prediction model, created by daily Fantasy expert Mike McClure, runs simulations of each race 10,000 times, considering track history and recent performance. For its 2025 season predictions, the model accurately forecasted Chase Elliott’s victory at +300 payout in the Clash at Bowman Gray and highlighted Byron as a promising +2000 longshot at Daytona. It also predicted Kyle Larson’s win in Miami, yielding a +350 payout. In 2024, it successfully named Larson as the winner in Las Vegas for a 21-5 sports betting payout, alongside accurate calls for wins by Denny Hamlin in Bristol and Richmond.
The model’s track record includes an impressive total of 20 winners since 2021, with nine in 2023 and three in the season’s first seven races. Following its guidance with betting apps and sportsbooks has led to significant returns for users. The model has now simulated the Wurth 400 for 2025 on 10,000 occasions. Visit SportsLine for the full projected leaderboard.
Key Predictions for the 2025 Wurth 400
The model has a favorable outlook on Chase Briscoe for the 2025 Wurth 400, despite his longshot odds of +2200. At 30, Briscoe is a two-time NASCAR Cup Series winner and has made the playoffs twice in four years. Expectations are high for him as he transitions to Joe Gibbs Racing in the No. 19 Bass Pro Shops Toyota. With a current standing of 12th, he has already secured a pole position and three top-five finishes in the first ten races.
Briscoe has also demonstrated strong performance at Texas Motor Speedway, achieving top-10 finishes over the last three seasons. Caesars is currently providing the best odds for Briscoe’s win. In addition, the model has identified an intriguing bet for Sunday: Ryan Blaney finishing in the top five at +130 odds. Blaney, with 13 Cup Series victories, is currently eighth in the standings after experiencing some setbacks at speedways.
Despite encountering difficulties, including a crash in Las Vegas and an engine failure while leading at Homestead-Miami, Blaney’s recent speed has generated value, making him an attractive option for prop bets or NASCAR parlays. DraftKings offers the most favorable odds for a Blaney top-five finish. Discover other drivers to consider and SportsLine’s projected leaderboard.
Making Your 2025 NASCAR at Texas Picks
The model is also focused on three additional drivers with odds of 14-1 or higher for a potential win. Those who support these drivers might hit substantial returns. Check out all the model’s NASCAR picks, props, and leaderboard predictions on SportsLine.
Who will be crowned the winner of the NASCAR Wurth 400 2025? And which longshots are key contenders? Review the latest odds below, and then visit SportsLine for the complete projected leaderboard, utilizing a model that has successfully identified 20 winners.
2025 NASCAR Texas Odds, Drivers, Lineup
Explore full NASCAR at Texas picks on SportsLine.
Kyle Larson +500
William Byron +600
Tyler Reddick +750
Denny Hamlin +800
Christopher Bell +800
Ryan Blaney +900
Joey Logano +1400
Chase Briscoe +1400
Kyle Busch +1600
Bubba Wallace +1800
Chase Elliott +2000
Alex Bowman +2200
Ty Gibbs +2500
Ross Chastain +2800
Josh Berry +3000
Chris Buescher +3000
Brad Keselowski +3500
Daniel Suarez +4000
Carson Hocevar +7000
Austin Cindric +8000
Ryan Preece +9000
Noah Gragson +9000
Erik Jones +9000
Austin Dillon +10000
AJ Allmendinger +10000
Michael McDowell +13000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +15000
Zane Smith +15000
Justin Haley +20000
John Hunter Nemechek +20000
Jesse Love +20000
Todd Gilliland +20000
Riley Herbst +30000
Cody Ware +30000
Cole Custer +30000
Ty Dillon +30000
Chad Finchum +30000
Shane Van Gisbergen +30000
