Rutgers standout Ace Bailey isn’t the top player in the 2025 NBA Draft, with that honor going to Duke’s Cooper Flagg, projected as the No. 1 pick. Interestingly, Bailey isn’t even the standout prospect from his own team, as Dylan Harper, his five-star teammate, is expected to be picked second overall by the San Antonio Spurs.
Bailey’s skills have sparked significant debate since the fall, when he began his college journey at Rutgers as one of the most celebrated recruits alongside Harper. Despite having both talents, Rutgers will make history as the first team with two top-five prospects to not qualify for the NCAA Tournament.
To put it bluntly, Bailey has become the most contentious player in the draft, eliciting mixed opinions on his abilities. Some claim he could be the next Kevin Durant, while others fear he may not meet the expectations set prior to the draft.
Bailey’s Potential Stands Out
Bailey possesses enticing potential as a scorer. He is known for his ability to make difficult shots, whether from long range or with defenders closing in. He’s projected to start being picked at No. 3 by the Philadelphia 76ers and is unlikely to drop beyond the Washington Wizards at pick No. 6.
Bailey’s ability to consistently score will draw interest from NBA decision-makers, boosting his chances of landing a top-five pick. His shot selection at Rutgers was sometimes questionable, but he still showcased an ability to hit tough jumpers.
Concerns About His Measurement
Though he was listed at 6-foot-10 by Rutgers, Bailey measured in at 6-7.5 without shoes at the NBA Draft Combine, raising concerns about his height. However, this is not expected to significantly impact his draft position as the pool from picks No. 3 to 10 is quite uncertain.
Rutgers’ Team Performance
This past season, Rutgers failed to capitalize on what many consider the most talented roster in the school’s history. It’s unusual for two projected top picks to end up missing the NCAA Tournament, especially since nine out of ten teams with multiple top-five recruits prior have made it.
How Bailey Fits with Lottery Teams
Bailey is expected to be selected between the 3rd and 6th picks on draft night. His fit with various teams appears favorable. For instance, the 76ers could provide him an environment where he doesn’t face as much scoring pressure, potentially benefiting his career growth.
