Former UFC champion Ronda Rousey is set to face off against former EliteXC contender Gina Carano this Saturday. This matchup highlights Netflix’s complete MVP MMA fight card, featuring several renowned personalities in the sport. The main event, scheduled for 9 p.m. ET at the Intuit Dome in Los Angeles, will be a five-round bout. Current odds from DraftKings show Rousey as a significant favorite at -625 (bet $625 to win $100), whereas Carano is listed at +455 (bet $100 to win $455). The over/under is set at 1.5 rounds, favoring the Under at -230 and the Over at +175.
Other noteworthy odds for the May 16 Netflix MMA card include Mike Perry at -205 versus Nate Diaz at +170, and Francis Ngannou at -1350 facing Philipe Lins at +800. Before finalizing your picks for the Netflix MMA card, check out the predictions and betting insights from SportsLine expert Josh Nagel.
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Josh Nagel, an experienced boxing analyst and the combat sports editor for SportsLine, has a history of success spanning over 20 years. He has recently returned to his role as the leading boxing analyst for SportsLine, showcasing a highly profitable campaign in 2025. Notably, he correctly predicted Terence Crawford’s (+140) victory over Canelo Alvarez and advised SportsLine members to take Crawford by decision at +220.
Nagel’s MMA predictions include backing Sean Strickland (+220) against Anthony Hernandez and Charles Oliveira (+150) against Max Holloway. Anyone who has followed Nagel’s combat sports picks this year could already be up more than $2,500.
Rousey vs. Carano Preview
Ronda Rousey, 39, will be returning to the fight scene for the first time in a decade. She boasts a career record of 12-2, with three victories coming by knockout and nine by submission. Rousey entered the UFC in February 2013, winning her first six matches before being knocked out in the second round of UFC 193 by Holly Holm. Her last match resulted in a loss by TKO to Amanda Nunes at UFC 207 for the Women’s Bantamweight Championship. Before her MMA career, she was a decorated Olympian, earning a bronze medal in judo at the 2008 Beijing Olympics.
Gina Carano, 44, fought in Elite Xtreme Combat and Strikeforce from 2006 to 2009 and achieved a record of 7-1 after winning her first seven fights. Her victories include three by knockout, one by submission, and three by decision. Carano’s last fight was against Cris Cyborg at Strikeforce on August 15, 2009, where she suffered a TKO loss for the women’s featherweight title. After that match, she transitioned away from fighting to pursue a film career, starring in notable films such as Haywire (2011), Fast & Furious 6 (2013), and Deadpool (2016).
Predictions for Netflix MMA Card: Rousey vs. Carano
Among Nagel’s picks for Rousey vs. Carano, he supports the Over 1.5 rounds bet in the Ngannou vs. Lins bout, which is currently at +200. He believes there is potential value in this selection, based on Lins’ history of taking fights to the scorecards and his grappling prowess. “If Lins can interrupt Ngannou’s offense with takedowns and ground control, there’s a good chance we could see this fight go beyond the first round,” he stated. Find out what else he recommends here.
Making Picks for the MMA Card: Rousey vs. Carano
Nagel has also identified fighters he believes are viable underdogs on a challenging card to find value. Only at SportsLine will he share who could score a significant upset.
Curious who will triumph in the Rousey vs. Carano fight and how it might conclude? Head over to SportsLine now for expert analysis from the exceptional analyst who’s had over $2,500 in profit this year.
Netflix MMA Main Fight Card and Odds
(Odds from DraftKings and may vary)
Ronda Rousey (-625) vs. Gina Carano (+455)
Nate Diaz (+170) vs. Mike Perry (-205)
Francis Ngannou (-1350) vs. Philipe Lins (+800)
Salahdine Parnasse (-1350) vs. Kenneth Cross (+800)
Junior dos Santos (+250) vs. Robelis Despaigne (-310)
